Describe the Bjerknes feedback loop and explain how it can amplify either an El Niño or a La Niña event from a small initial perturbation.
Think about your answer, then reveal below.
Model answer: The Bjerknes feedback is a positive ocean-atmosphere feedback: warmer eastern Pacific SSTs reduce the east-west temperature gradient, lowering pressure in the east, weakening the Walker circulation trade winds, allowing even more warm water to flow east and further suppressing cold upwelling. The feedback is self-reinforcing, so a small initial weakening of trade winds grows into a full El Niño. La Niña is the mirror: anomalously strong trade winds cool the eastern Pacific further, which steepens the pressure gradient, which strengthens trade winds, amplifying cooling.
The Bjerknes feedback is why ENSO events can grow rapidly once initiated. It is a positive feedback in the dynamical systems sense — deviations from neutral are amplified, not dampened. Understanding this explains why ENSO is not just a gradual warming/cooling but often has a rapid onset and a characteristic asymmetric time evolution (fast growth, slower decay).