What did Chetty et al.'s research reveal about geographic variation in mobility within the United States?
Think about your answer, then reveal below.
Model answer: Using IRS tax records for millions of Americans, Chetty et al. found enormous variation in intergenerational mobility across US commuting zones. Children born to low-income families in some areas (e.g., Salt Lake City, San Jose) had much higher chances of reaching the top income quintile than those in other areas (e.g., Atlanta, Charlotte). The factors most correlated with high mobility were: less residential segregation, less income inequality, better schools, stronger social networks, and more two-parent families. This variation suggests that local institutions and community characteristics profoundly shape children's life chances.
The geographic variation is striking — a child's chances of upward mobility can differ by a factor of two or more depending on where they grow up, even controlling for parental income. Chetty's subsequent work using movers (families who relocate) showed that moving to a high-mobility area during childhood improves children's outcomes, with larger effects for younger children. This provides causal evidence that place matters — it is not just that high-mobility areas attract better-off families, but that the characteristics of the area itself improve outcomes.