What is 'crowding out' in the IS-LM model, and why does it mean fiscal stimulus is less potent than a simple multiplier analysis suggests?
Think about your answer, then reveal below.
Model answer: Crowding out occurs when fiscal expansion (IS shifts right) raises equilibrium interest rates, which then reduces private investment. In the IS-LM model, the equilibrium moves up along the LM curve: output rises, but the higher interest rate suppresses investment, partially offsetting the stimulus. The net increase in output is smaller than the full multiplier effect because LM 'pushes back' through the interest rate.
A simple Keynesian multiplier ignores the money market. IS-LM adds it back: as output rises, money demand rises, pushing up interest rates. Higher rates discourage investment, dampening the output expansion. The degree of crowding out depends on the slope of LM (how sensitive interest rates are to output) and the slope of IS (how sensitive investment is to interest rates).