Girsanov Theorem

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girsanov change-of-measure risk-neutral equivalent-measures

Core Idea

Girsanov's theorem describes how Brownian motion transforms under a change of probability measure. If W is a Brownian motion under P and we define a new measure Q via the Radon-Nikodym derivative dQ/dP = exp(-∫θ dW - (1/2)∫θ² dt), then W̃(t) = W(t) + ∫₀ᵗ θ(s) ds is a Brownian motion under Q. This allows removing or adding drift: a process with drift under one measure becomes driftless under another. It is the mathematical foundation of risk-neutral pricing in finance.

Explainer

Girsanov's theorem answers a remarkable question: if you change the probability measure on a probability space, what happens to the Brownian motion? The answer is that it acquires (or loses) a drift. Specifically, if W is a standard Brownian motion under probability measure P, and we define a new measure Q by the Radon-Nikodym derivative dQ/dP = Z(T), where Z(t) = exp(-∫₀ᵗ θ(s) dW(s) - (1/2)∫₀ᵗ θ(s)² ds) is the exponential martingale, then the process W̃(t) = W(t) + ∫₀ᵗ θ(s) ds is a standard Brownian motion under Q.

The exponential Z(t) is called the Girsanov density or likelihood ratio process. Your prerequisite on the Radon-Nikodym theorem ensures you understand what dQ/dP means: it is a non-negative measurable function that converts P-expectations to Q-expectations via E_Q[X] = E_P[Z·X]. The Novikov condition E_P[exp((1/2)∫₀ᵀ θ² dt)] < ∞ is the standard sufficient condition ensuring Z is a true martingale (E_P[Z(T)] = 1), so that Q is a genuine probability measure equivalent to P. Without this condition, Z could be a strict supermartingale with E[Z(T)] < 1, and Q would assign total mass less than 1 — a defective measure.

The practical power of Girsanov's theorem is drift removal. If under P we have dX = μ(t)dt + σ(t)dW, we can choose θ = μ/σ and switch to a measure Q under which dX = σ dW̃ — the drift has been absorbed into the new Brownian motion. This is the mathematical content of risk-neutral pricing in finance: under the real-world measure P, a stock has drift μ (its expected return). Under the risk-neutral measure Q (constructed via Girsanov with θ = (μ-r)/σ, where r is the risk-free rate), the stock has drift r. Option prices are expectations under Q, not P — Girsanov's theorem is the bridge between the physical and risk-neutral worlds.

A critical limitation: Girsanov's theorem changes drift but not volatility. The quadratic variation [X,X]_t is the same under both P and Q because equivalent measures agree on null sets, and quadratic variation is determined pathwise. This means the "roughness" of sample paths is an absolute property — no change of measure can smooth Brownian motion or eliminate diffusion. Drift is a statistical property (it determines which direction the process tends to go), while volatility is a pathwise property (it determines how rough the paths are). Girsanov lets you manipulate the former while the latter remains invariant.

Practice Questions 3 questions

Prerequisite Chain

Counting to 10Counting to 20Understanding ZeroThe Number ZeroCounting to FiveOne-to-One CorrespondenceCombining Small Groups Within 5Addition Within 10Addition Within 20Two-Digit Addition Without RegroupingTwo-Digit Addition with RegroupingAddition Within 100Repeated Addition as MultiplicationMultiplication Facts Within 100Division as Equal SharingDivision as Grouping (Measurement Division)Division: Grouping (Repeated Subtraction) ModelDivision: Fair Sharing ModelDivision as Equal SharingDivision as GroupingBasic Division FactsDivision Facts Within 100Two-Digit by One-Digit DivisionDivision with RemaindersRemainders and Quotients in DivisionDivision Word ProblemsIntroduction to Long DivisionFactors and MultiplesPrime and Composite NumbersEquivalent FractionsRelating Fractions and DecimalsDecimal Place ValueReading and Writing DecimalsComparing and Ordering DecimalsAdding and Subtracting DecimalsMultiplying DecimalsDividing DecimalsDividing FractionsMixed Number ArithmeticOrder of OperationsInteger Order of OperationsVariable ExpressionsCombining Like TermsOne-Step EquationsTwo-Step EquationsSolving Multi-Step EquationsEquations with Variables on Both SidesAngle Pairs: Complementary, Supplementary, and VerticalParallel Lines and TransversalsCorresponding AnglesAlternate Interior AnglesTriangle Angle Sum TheoremExterior Angle TheoremTriangle Inequality TheoremSimilar Triangles: AA SimilaritySimilar Triangles: SSS and SAS SimilarityProportions in Similar TrianglesRight Triangle Trigonometry IntroductionTrigonometric Ratios ReviewRadian MeasureConverting Between Degrees and RadiansThe Unit CircleGraphing Sine and CosineGraphing Tangent and Reciprocal Trigonometric FunctionsDerivatives of Trigonometric FunctionsAntiderivativesIterated Integrals and Fubini's TheoremDouble Integrals in Cartesian CoordinatesDouble Integrals over Rectangular RegionsDouble Integrals in Polar CoordinatesDouble Integrals: Definition and SetupIterated Integrals and Fubini's TheoremDouble Integrals over Rectangular RegionsDouble Integrals over General RegionsApplications of Double Integrals: Area, Mass, and MomentsCenter of MassConservation of Linear MomentumElastic CollisionsInelastic CollisionsCoefficient of RestitutionCollision Analysis and Real-World ApplicationsTwo-Body Collisions in the Center-of-Mass FrameReduced Mass and Two-Body ProblemsKinematics in Two DimensionsProjectile MotionCircular Motion: KinematicsRotational KinematicsTorqueMoment of InertiaRotational Kinetic EnergyThe Work-Energy TheoremConservation of Mechanical EnergyFirst Law of ThermodynamicsThermodynamic Processes and the PV DiagramIsobaric and Isochoric ProcessesHeat EnginesThermal Efficiency of Heat EnginesRefrigerators and Heat PumpsSecond Law of ThermodynamicsEntropyMicrostates and MacrostatesEnsemble Theory FundamentalsCanonical Ensemble (NVT)Partition Function: Definition and PropertiesThe Canonical Partition Function and Thermodynamic DerivationMaxwell-Boltzmann Distribution and Classical LimitBrownian MotionProperties of Brownian MotionThe Itô IntegralItô's Formula (Itô's Lemma)Stochastic Differential EquationsGirsanov Theorem

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