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Quasi-Experimental Designs and Non-Randomized Comparisons

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Selecting and Matching Research Designs to QuestionsQuasi-Experimental Designs with Nonequivalent Groups+1 more→→Quasi-Experimental Designs and Interrupted Time Series
quasi-experimental causal-inference-approximate non-equivalent-groups

Core Idea

Quasi-experiments use non-equivalent control groups, interrupted time-series, or matched pairs to approximate causal inference when randomization is impossible or unethical. They sacrifice randomization's power to eliminate confounds but remain valuable when true experiments are infeasible. Statistical control and design logic partially compensate for lack of random assignment.

How It's Best Learned

Compare a randomized and quasi-experimental study on similar questions. Identify the specific quasi-experimental design (e.g., interrupted time-series, regression discontinuity) and discuss threats it faces. Practice designing a quasi-experiment when randomization is ruled out.

Common Misconceptions

Explainer

From your study of true experimental designs, you know that random assignment is the gold standard for causal inference — it equates groups on all confounds, known and unknown, before the treatment begins. But many of the most important causal questions in psychology cannot be answered with randomized experiments. You cannot randomly assign people to poverty, to childhood trauma, to being a member of a stigmatized group, or to receiving a mandatory policy intervention. Quasi-experimental designs are the toolkit researchers use when randomization is impossible, impractical, or unethical — not as a concession to poor science, but as a deliberate strategy for extracting causal signal from non-random data.

The most common quasi-experimental approach is the non-equivalent control group design: two groups are compared, one receiving treatment and one not, but group membership was not randomly determined. The critical question is always: were the groups similar enough before the treatment that post-treatment differences are attributable to the treatment rather than pre-existing differences? This is where selection bias becomes the central threat. Matching on observed characteristics (age, gender, prior test scores) reduces this threat but does not eliminate it — groups may differ on unmeasured variables that are correlated with both group membership and the outcome. This is why matched groups are not equivalent to randomly assigned groups: matching controls only what you can measure.

The interrupted time-series design is a more powerful quasi-experimental approach when longitudinal data exist. Rather than comparing two groups at one time point, it tracks a single group's trajectory before and after an intervention and asks: did the trend change at the moment of the intervention in ways inconsistent with the pre-existing trajectory? A new traffic safety law takes effect at a specific date — if traffic fatalities had been on a steady trend for years and then show an abrupt change at the law's implementation, the design provides compelling (though not definitive) causal evidence. The design's strength comes from using the group's own pre-intervention trend as the control condition.

The regression discontinuity design exploits sharp assignment cutoffs: applicants above a test score threshold receive a scholarship; those below do not. The key insight is that people just above and just below the threshold are essentially equivalent in ability and motivation — the cutoff creates local randomization near the threshold. Comparing outcomes for these near-threshold groups provides a credible causal estimate of the scholarship's effect. This design is highly regarded in economics and policy evaluation precisely because the assignment rule is known, measurable, and sharp. The quality of any quasi-experimental inference ultimately depends on the plausibility of the argument that the comparison group represents what the treatment group would have looked like without treatment — a claim that requires both design logic and empirical checks, not just an assumption.

Practice Questions 5 questions

Prerequisite Chain

Understanding Zero → The Number Zero → Counting to Five → Counting to 10 → Counting to 20 → Counting a Set of Objects Up to 20 → Cardinality: The Last Number Counted → Matching Numerals to Quantities → Subitizing Small Quantities → Addition Within 10 → Number Bonds to 10 → Addition Within 20 → Doubles and Near Doubles → Doubles Facts Within 10 → Near Doubles Facts Within 20 → Mental Math Strategies for Addition → Mental Math: Adding and Subtracting Tens → Addition Within 100 → Repeated Addition as Multiplication → Multiplication as Equal Groups → Multiplication: Arrays → Basic Multiplication Facts (0s, 1s, 2s, 5s, 10s) → Multiplication Facts Within 100 → Division as Equal Sharing → Division as Grouping (Measurement Division) → Division: Grouping (Repeated Subtraction) Model → Division: Fair Sharing Model → Division as Equal Sharing → Division as Grouping → Basic Division Facts → Division Facts Within 100 → Multiplication and Division Fact Families → Relationship Between Multiplication and Division → Division Facts as Inverse of Multiplication → Remainders and Quotients in Division → Division Word Problems → Multi-Step Word Problems → Solving Multi-Step Word Problems → Multiplication Word Problems → Division Word Problems → Introduction to Long Division → Factors and Multiples → Prime and Composite Numbers → Equivalent Fractions → Relating Fractions and Decimals → Decimal Place Value → Integers and the Number Line → Comparing and Ordering Integers → Absolute Value → Adding Integers → Subtracting Integers → Multiplying Integers → Dividing Integers → Unit Rates → Proportions → Percent Concept → Converting Between Fractions, Decimals, and Percents → Operations with Rational Numbers → Two-Step Equations → Solving Multi-Step Equations → Equations with Variables on Both Sides → Angle Pairs: Complementary, Supplementary, and Vertical → Parallel Lines and Transversals → Corresponding Angles → Alternate Interior Angles → Triangle Angle Sum Theorem → Exterior Angle Theorem → Triangle Inequality Theorem → Similar Triangles: AA Similarity → Similar Triangles: SSS and SAS Similarity → Proportions in Similar Triangles → Right Triangle Trigonometry Introduction → Sine, Cosine, and Tangent Ratios → Trigonometric Ratios Review → Radian Measure → Converting Between Degrees and Radians → The Unit Circle → Graphing Sine and Cosine → Graphing Tangent and Reciprocal Trigonometric Functions → Derivatives of Trigonometric Functions → Antiderivatives → Indefinite Integrals → Basic Integration Rules → Riemann Sums → Definite Integral Definition → Probability Density Functions and Continuous Distributions → Cumulative Distribution Functions → Continuous Random Variables → Probability Density Functions → Expected Value → Weak Law of Large Numbers → Probability Axioms and Rules → Conditional Probability → Conditional Distributions → Bivariate Normal Distribution → Normal Distribution → Standard Normal Distribution and Z-Scores → Hypothesis Testing Fundamentals → Experimental Research Design → Control and Experimental Groups → Random Assignment → Confounding Variables and Internal Validity → Blinding and Demand Characteristics → Validity in Psychological Measurement → Inferential Statistics in Psychology → Effect Size and Statistical Power → Sample Size Determination in Research Planning → Literature Review and Research Synthesis → Hypothesis Construction: Directional and Nondirectional Predictions → Operationalizing Independent and Dependent Variables → Construct Definition and Measurement Development → Construct Validity and Measurement Validity → Construct Validity and Operationalization of Psychological Constructs → Variables: Definition, Operationalization, and Measurement → Selecting and Matching Research Designs to Questions → True Experimental Design and Randomization → Quasi-Experimental Designs and Non-Randomized Comparisons

Longest path: 117 steps · 565 total prerequisite topics

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